IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.7	#248
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#161
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#174

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.8	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.3%	25.6%	14.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.4	15.4

.500 or above	53.7%	85.5%	52.8%
.500 or above in Conference	74.3%	90.7%	73.8%
Conference Champion	18.1%	34.9%	17.6%
Last Place in Conference	3.2%	0.6%	3.3%

First Four	5.1%	2.7%	5.2%
First Round	11.7%	24.1%	11.4%
Second Round	0.3%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 7	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	28	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	63-83	3%
Nov 08, 2019	105	@ Richmond	L	69-81	14%
Nov 13, 2019	329	@ Morgan St.	W	81-78	61%
Nov 16, 2019	184	American	W	74-73	51%
Nov 19, 2019	240	Delaware	W	72-69	59%
Nov 23, 2019	18	@ Florida St.	L	64-85	3%
Nov 30, 2019	221	@ Saint Joseph's	L	73-77	35%
Dec 04, 2019	227	Lehigh	W	82-80	57%
Dec 07, 2019	206	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	66-71	33%
Dec 22, 2019	246	William & Mary	L	77-78	50%
Jan 02, 2020	314	@ Bryant	W	77-76	54%
Jan 04, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	79-73	68%
Jan 09, 2020	331	Wagner	W	73-63	79%
Jan 11, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	77-71	69%
Jan 15, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	73-76	41%
Jan 18, 2020	249	Sacred Heart	W	82-79	60%
Jan 20, 2020	304	Merrimack	W	77-70	71%
Jan 23, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	76-81	34%
Jan 25, 2020	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	73-74	49%
Jan 30, 2020	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	82-70	84%
Feb 01, 2020	314	Bryant	W	80-73	72%
Feb 06, 2020	249	@ Sacred Heart	L	79-82	41%
Feb 08, 2020	331	@ Wagner	W	70-66	62%
Feb 15, 2020	287	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	73-74	47%
Feb 18, 2020	273	Robert Morris	W	73-68	65%
Feb 23, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	W	79-78	54%
Feb 27, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	W	76-71	67%
Feb 29, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	70-71	45%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.5	2.5	4.6	4.8	3.4	1.7	0.5		18.1	1st
2nd											0.1	1.1	3.9	5.1	3.4	1.1	0.1	0.0			15.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.3	4.6	5.0	2.2	0.3	0.0					13.5	3rd
4th									0.0	1.0	4.5	4.7	1.6	0.2							12.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	3.6	4.2	1.3	0.2	0.0							10.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	2.8	3.7	1.2	0.1	0.0								8.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.2	3.3	1.3	0.1										7.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	1.8	2.6	1.1	0.1											6.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.5	1.9	0.9	0.1												4.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.1													3.2	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0													1.8	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	1.7	3.2	5.0	6.3	8.1	9.8	11.4	11.9	11.2	10.0	8.4	5.9	3.5	1.7	0.5			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	99.5%	1.7		1.6	0.0
16-2	96.6%	3.4		3.1	0.3	0.0
15-3	81.0%	4.8		3.5	1.2	0.1
14-4	55.3%	4.6		2.3	1.9	0.4	0.0
13-5	24.7%	2.5		0.8	1.0	0.6	0.1
12-6	4.3%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.1%	18.1		11.9	4.7	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		64.6%	64.6%		13.0											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
17-1	1.7%		55.1%	55.1%		14.1												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.8
16-2	3.5%		41.9%	41.9%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.1	2.1
15-3	5.9%		34.3%	34.3%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.7	3.9
14-4	8.4%		27.2%	27.2%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	1.1	6.1
13-5	10.0%		22.5%	22.5%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.7	1.5	7.8
12-6	11.2%		15.2%	15.2%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.4	9.5
11-7	11.9%		11.4%	11.4%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.3	10.5
10-8	11.4%		7.8%	7.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.9	10.5
9-9	9.8%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																	0.6	9.2
8-10	8.1%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.3	7.8
7-11	6.3%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
6-12	5.0%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	4.9
5-13	3.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.2
4-14	1.7%																							1.7
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	15.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	3.9	8.0	85.7		0.0%